Bonanza Creek LTER
Bonanza Creek LTER
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A. Dave McGuire

A. McGuire, Dr.
Telephone (primary): (907) 474-6242
Telephone (secondary):
Fax: (907) 474-7872
E-mail1 (primary): ffadm@uaf.edu
E-mail2 (secondary):
Web URL: http://mercury.bio.uaf.edu/~dave_mcguire/dmcguire.html

Address:
Alaska Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit University of Alaska Fairbanks Irving I Building
Fairbanks, AK 99775
United States
Official position at
address above:		 Co-PI
Educational Institutions
attended:		 Ph.D., 1989, Biology, University of Alaska Fairbanks
M.S., 1983, Biology, University of Alaska Fairbanks
B.S., 1976, Electrical Engineering, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York
Roles/Affiliations: Alaska Co-operative Fish & Wildlife Research Unit
Institute of Arctic Biology

Study Areas

Core Areas: Modeling/Synthesis
Categories: Biogeochemistry
Climate
Disturbance
Primary Production
Vegetation
Keywords: carbon
fires
modeling

Datasets

  • Active Layer Depth Data for the BBC collapse scar for 2003 and 2004
  • Analysis of vegetation distribution in interior Alaska and sensitivity to climate change using a logistic regression approach
  • Aspect raster layer for interior Alaska
  • Average D and 18O isotope data for a core from the center and moat of the BBC collapse scar: Bonanza Creek Experimental Forest Flood Plains
  • Biomass, %N, and %C data for the BBC collapse scar for 2003 and 2004
  • Black spruce needle nitrogen concentration from 1998
  • Black spruce needle nitrogen concentration from 5 stands in 1999
  • BNZ Soil Temperature Data for submission to EcoTrends
  • BNZ Solar Radiation Data for submission to EcoTrends
  • BNZ Stream Flow Data for submission to EcoTrends
  • BNZ Wind Speed Data for submission to EcoTrends
  • CO2, CH4, and H2O flux data and associated environmental variables for the BBC collapse scar for 2004
  • Digital Elevation Model (DEM) raster layer for interior Alaska
  • Greenup values for interior alaska 1976 - Present
  • Gross primary production and ecosystem respiration measurments based on the Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (TEM)
  • Ground cover and biomass projection photos for the BBC collapse scar
  • Growing Season D and 18O isotope data for a core from the center and moat of the BBC collapse scar: Bonanza Creek Experimental Forest Flood Plains
  • Litterfall and Hare Pellet Summary at Bonanza Creek Experimental Forest Control Plots (1985 - Present)
  • Meteorological data for the BBC collapse scar for 2003 and 2004
  • Net ecosystem production (NEP) raw data for the coupled and uncoupled simulation for all North American black spruce grid cells (n=1758)
  • Net primary production, heterotrophic respiration, and net ecoystem production out from TEM outputs compared with Tower data: 1899 - 2100
  • Net primary production, heterotrophic respiration, and net ecoystem production out from TEM outputs: 1899 - 2100
  • Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) for Fairbanks, AK 1949-2006
  • Raw D and 18O isotope data for a core from the center and moat of the BBC collapse scar: Bonanza Creek Experimental Forest Flood Plains
  • Raw Diatom assemblages for 3 cores from the center, moat and surrounding burn (0, 12, and 30 m) of the BBC collapse scar
  • Soil CO2 data after a fire interior Alaska
  • Soil data for cores from a transect from the center of the BBC collapse scar into the surrounding burn
  • Summary Diatom assemblages for 3 cores from the center, moat and surrounding burn (0, 12, and 30 m) of the BBC collapse scar
  • The role of fire in the carbon dynamics of the boreal forest I. - Response of area burned to changing climate in western boreal North America using a Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) approach (2003-2100).
  • The role of fire in the carbon dynamics of the boreal forest II. - Eurasia model simulations of historical fire disturbance and carbon dynamics (1000-2002).
  • The role of fire in the carbon dynamics of the boreal forest III. - North America model simulations of historical fire disturbance and carbon dynamics (1900-2100).
  • Tree band growth data taken at BCEF sites (1989 -Present)
  • Tree inventory data taken at BCEF sites (1989-Present)
  • Tree ring width data for trees adjacent to the BBC collapse scar
    		•

    Publications (79)

    Journal Articles:

    McGuire, A.D. 1986. Some aspects of the breeding biology of Red winged Blackbirds in Alaska. Wilson Bulletin 98:257 266.

    Armbruster, W.S. and A.D. McGuire. 1991. Experimental assessment of reproductive interactions between sympatric Aster and Erigeron (Asteraceae) in interior Alaska. American Journal of Botany 78:1449-1457.

    McGuire, A.D. and W.S. Armbruster. 1991. An experimental test for reproductive interactions between two sequentially blooming Saxifraga species (Saxifragaceae). American Journal of Botany 78:214-219.

    McGuire, A.D. 1993. Interactions for pollination between two synchronously blooming Hedysarum species (Fabaceae) in Alaska. American Journal of Botany 80:147-152.

    Wittenberg, U., M. Heimann, G. Esser, A.D. McGuire and W. Sauf. 1998 On the influence of biomass burning on the seasonal CO2 signal as observed at monitoring stations. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 12:531-544.

    Chapin, F.S. III, A.D. McGuire, J. Randerson, R. Pielke Sr., D. Baldocchi, S.E. Hobbie, N. Roulet, W. Eugster, E. Kasischke, E.B. Rastetter, S.A. Zimov and S.W. Running. 2000 Arctic and boreal ecosystems of western North America as components of the climate system. Global Change Biology 6 (Suppl. 1):211-223.

    McGuire, A.D., J.M. Melillo, J.T. Randerson, W.J. Parton, M. Heimann, R.A. Meier, J.S. Clein, D.W. Kicklighter and W. Sauf. 2000 Modeling the effects of snowpack on heterotrophic respiration across northern temperate and high latitude regions: comparison with measurements of atmospheric carbon dioxide in high latitudes. Biogeochemistry 48:91-114.

    Amthor, J.S., J.M. Chen, J.S. Clein, S.E. Frolking, M.L. Goulden, R.F. Grant, J.S. Kimball, A.W. King, A.D. McGuire, N.T. Nikolov, C.S. Potter, S. Wang and S.C. Wofsy. 2001 Boreal forest CO2 exchange and evapotranspiration predicted by nine ecosystem process models: Intermodel comparisons and relationships to field measurements. Journal of Geophysical Research 106:33,623-33,648.

    McGuire, A. D., S. Sitch, J.S. Clein, R. Dargaville, G. Esser, J. Foley, M. Heimann, F. Joos, J. Kaplan, D.W. Kicklighter, R.A. Meier, J.M. Melillo, B. Moore III, I.C. Prentice, N. Ramankutty, T. Reichenau, A. Schloss, H. Tian, L.J. Williams, and U. Wittenberg. 2001 Carbon balance of the terrestrial biosphere in the twentieth century: Analyses of CO2, climate and land use effects with four process-based ecosystem models. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 15(1): 183-206.

    Potter, C. , S. Wang, N.T. Nikolov, A.D. McGuire, J. Liu, A.W. King, J.S. Kimball, R.F. Grant, S.E. Frolking, J.S. Clein, J.M. Chen and J.S. Amthor. 2001 Comparison of boreal ecosystem model sensitivity to variability in climate and forest site parameters. Journal of Geophysical Research 106:33,671-33,688.

    Silapaswan, C.S, D. Verbyla and A.D. McGuire. 2001 Land cover change on the Seward Peninsula: The use of remote sensing to evaluate potential influences of climate change on historical vegetation dynamics. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 27:542-554.

    Zhuang, Q., V.E. Romanovsky and A.D. McGuire. 2001 Incorporation of a permafrost model into a large-scale ecosystem model: Evaluation of temporal and spatial scaling issues in simulating soil thermal dynamics. Journal of Geophysical Research 106:33,649-33,670.

    Clein, J.S., A.D. McGuire , X. Zhuang, D.W. Kicklighter, J.M. Melillo, S.C. Wofsy, P.G. Jarvis and J.M. Massheder. 2002 Historical and projected carbon balances of mature black spruce ecosystems across North America: The role of carbon-nitrogen interactions. Plant and Soil 242:15-32.

    Dargaville, R., A.D. McGuire and P. Rayner. 2002 Estimates of large-scale fluxes in high latitudes from terrestrial biosphere models and an inversion of atmospheric CO2 measurements. Climatic Change 55:273-285.

    McGuire, A.D., C. Wirth, M. Apps, J. Beringer, J. Clein, H. Epstein, D.W. Kicklighter, J. Bhatti, F.S. Chapin III, B. deGroot, D. Efremov, W. Eugster, M. Fukuda, T. Gower, L. Hinzman, B. Huntley, G.J. Jia, E. Kasischke, J. Melillo, V. Romanovsky, A. Shvidenko, E. Vaganov, and D. Walker. 2002 Environmental variation, vegetation distribution, carbon dynamics, and water/energy exchange in high latitudes. Journal of Vegetation Science 13:301-314.

    Bigelow, N.H., L. B. Brubaker, M. E. Edwards, S. P. Harrison, I. C. Prentice, P. M. Anderson, A. A. Andreev, P.J. Bartlein, T.R. Christensen, W. Cramer, J. O. Kaplan, A. V. Lozhkin, N.V. Matveyeva, D. F. Murray, A.D. McGuire, V.Y. Razzhivin, J. C. Ritchie, B. Smith, D.A. Walker, K. Gajewski, V. Wolf, B. Holmqvist, U. Igarashi, K. Kremenestskii, A. Paus, M. F. J. Pisaric, and V. S. Volkova. 2003 Climate change and Arctic ecosystems I: Vegetation changes north of 55o N between the last glacial maximum, mid-Holocene and present. Journal of Geophysical Research 108(D19), 8170, doi:10.1029/2002JD002558.

    Chapin, F.S., T.S. Rupp, A.M. Starfield, L. DeWilde, E.S. Zavaleta, N. Fresco, J. Henkelman and A.D. McGuire. 2003 Planning for resilience: modeling change in human-fire interactions in the Alaskan boreal forest. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 1:255-261.

    Kaplan, J.O., N.H. Bigelow, P.J. Bartlein, T.R. Christensen, W. Cramer, S.P. Harrison, N.V. Matveyeva, A.D. McGuire, D.F. Murray, I.C. Prentice, V.Y. Razzhivin, B. Smith, D.A. Walker, P.M. Anderson, A.A. Andreev, L.B. Brubaker, M.E. Edwards, A.V. Lozhkin. 2003 Climate change and Arctic ecosystems II: Modeling, paleodat-model comparisons, and future projections. Journal of Geophysical Research 108(D19), 8171, doi:10.1029/2002JD002559.

    Zhuang, Q., A.D. McGuire, J. Harden, K.P. O'Neill, V.E. Romanovsky and J. Yarie. 2003 Modeling soil thermal and carbon dynamics of a fire chronosequence in interior Alaska. Journal of Geophysical Research 108(D1):8147. 10.1029/2001JD001244.

    Zhuang, Q., A.D. McGuire, J.M. Melillo, J.S. Clein, R.J. Dargaville, D.W. Kicklighter, R.B. Myneni, J. Dong, V.E. Romanovsky, J. Harden, and J.E. Hobbie. 2003 Carbon cycling in extratropical terrestrial ecosystems of the Northern Hemisphere during the 20th Century: A modeling analysis of the influences of soil thermal dynamics. Tellus 55B:751-776.

    Thompson, C., J. Beringer, F.S. Chapin III and A.D. McGuire. 2004 Structural complexity and land-surface energy exchange along a gradient from arctic tundra to boreal forest. Journal of Vegetation Science 15:397-406.

    Zhuang, Q., J.M. Melillo, D.W. Kicklighter, R.G. Prinn, A.D. McGuire, P.A. Steudler, B.S. Felzer, and S. Hu. 2004 Methane fluxes between terrestrial ecosystems and the atmosphere at northern high latitudes during the past century: A retrospective analysis with a process-based biogeochemistry model. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 18, GB3010, doi:10.1029/2004GB002239.

    Apps, MA and AD McGuire. 2005 Foreword: Climate-Disturbance Interactions in Boreal Forest Ecosystems. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 35(9):v-viii(1).

    Beringer, J., F.S. Chapin III, C.C. Thompson, and A.D. McGuire. 2005 Surface energy exchanges along a tundra-forest transition and feedbacks to climate. Agriculture and Forest Meteorology 131:143-161.

    Calef, M.P., A.D. McGuire, H.E. Epstein, T.S. Rupp, and H.H. Shugart. 2005 Analysis of vegetation distribution in Interior Alaska and sensitivity to climate change using a logistic regression approach. Journal of Biogeography. 32:863-878.

    Chapin, F.S., III, M. Sturm, M.C. Serreze, J.P McFadden, J.R. Key, A.H. Lloyd, A.D. McGuire, T.S. Rupp, A.H. Lynch, J.P Schimel, J. Beringer, W.L. Chapman, H.E. Epstein, E.S. Euskirchen, L.D. Hinzman, G. Jia, C.L. Ping, K.D. Tape, C.D.C. Thompson, D.A. Walker, and J.M. Welker. 2005 Role of Land-Surface Changes in Arctic Summer Warming. Science. Published online September 22 2005;10.1126/science.1117368 (Science Express Reports)

    Hinzman, L., N. Bettez, W.R. Bolton, F.S. Chapin III, M. Dyurgerov, C. Fastie, B. Griffith, R.D. Hollister, A. Hope, H.P. Huntington, A. Jensen, G.J. Jia, T. Jorgenson, D.L. Kane, D.R. Klein, G. Kofinas, A. Lynch, A. Lloyd, A.D. McGuire, F. Nelson, W.C. Oechel, T. Osterkamp, C. Racine, V. Romanovsky, R. Stone, D. Stow, M. Sturm, C.E. Tweedie, G. Vourlitis, M. Walker, D. Walker, P.J. Webber, J. Welker, K. Winker, and K. Yoshikawa. 2005 Evidence and implications of recent climate change in northern Alaska and other arctic regions. Climatic Change 72(3)251-298

    Maier, J.A.K., J. Ver Hoef, A.D. McGuire, R.T. Bowyer, L. Saperstein, and H.A. Maier. 2005 Distribution and density of moose in relation to landscape characteristics: Effects of scale. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 35:2233-2243.

    Chapin, F.S., III, G.M. Woodwell, J.T. Randerson, G.M. Lovett, E.B. Rastetter, D.D. Baldocchi, D.A. Clark, M.E. Harmon, D.S. Schimel, R. Valentini, C. Wirth, J.D. Aber, J.J. Cole, M.L. Goulden, J.W. Harden, M. Heimann, R.W. Howarth, P.A. Matson, A.D. McGuire, J.M. Melillo, H.A. Mooney, J.C. Neff, R.A. Houghton, M.L. Pace, M.G. Ryan, S.W. Running, O.E. Sala, W.H. Schlesinger, and E.-D. Schulze. 2006 Reconciling Carbon-cycle Concepts, Terminology, and Methods. Ecosystems 9(7):1041-1050, DOI:10.1007/s10021-005-0105-7

    Euskirchen, E.S., A.D. McGuire, D.W. Kicklighter, Q. Zhuang, J.S. Clein, R.J. Dargaville, D.G. Dye, J.S. Kimball, K.C. McDonald, J.M. Melillo, V.E. Romanovsky, and N.V. Smith. 2006 Importance of recent shifts in soil thermal dynamics on growing season length, productivity, and carbon sequestration in terrestrial high-latitude ecosystems. Global Change Biology, 12,731-750.

    McGuire AD, MA Apps. 2006 Foreword: Climate-Disturbance Interactions in Boreal Forest Ecosystems. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 11(4):765-767.

    McGuire, A.D., F.S. Chapin, III, J.E. Walsh, and C. Wirth. 2006 Integrated Regional Changes in Arctic Climate Feedbacks: Implications for the Global Climate System. Annual Review of Environment and Resources 31:61-91. DOI:10.1146/annurev.energy.31.020105.100253

    Riordan, B., Verbyla,D.L., and McGuire, A.D. 2006 Shrinking ponds in subarctic Alaska based on 1950-2002 remotely sensed images. Journal of Geophysical Research-Biogeosciences. 111:G04002

    Thompson, C.C., A.D. McGuire, J.S. Clein, F.S. Chapin, III, and J. Beringer. 2006 Net carbon exchange across the arctic tundra-boreal forest transition in Alaska 1981-2000. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change. 11(4)805-827. DOI: 10.1007/s11027-005-9016-3

    Zhang, X., A.D. McGuire, and R.W. Ruess. 2006 Scaling uncertainties in estimating canopy foliar maintenance respiration for black spruce ecosystems in Alaska. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change,Volume 11(1):147-171, DOI: 10.107/s11027-006-1015-5.

    Zhuang, Q., J.M. Melillo, M.C. Sarofim, D.W. Kicklighter, A.D. McGuire, B.S. Felzer, A. Sokolov, R.G. Prinn, P.A. Steudler, and S. Hu. 2006 CO2 and CH4 exchanges between land ecosystems and the atmosphere in northern high latitudes over the 21st Century. Geophysical Research Letters 33, L17403, doi:10.1029/2006GL026972.

    Balshi, M.S., A.D. McGuire, Q. Zhuang, J.M. Melillo, D.W. Kicklighter, E.S. Kasischke, C. Wirth, M. Flannigan, J. Harden, J.S. Clein, T. Burnside, J. McAllister, W. Kurz, M. Apps, and A. Shvidenko. 2007 The role of historical fire disturbance in the carbon dynamics of the pan-boreal region: A process-based analysis. Journal of Geophysical Research - Biogeosciences 112, G02029, doi:10.1029/2006JG000380.

    Clein, J.S., A.D. McGuire, S.E. Euskirchen, and M. Calef. 2007 The effects of different climate input data sets on simulated carbon dynamics in the western Arctic. /Earth Interactions/ Volume 11, paper 12, 24 pages [available online at http://earthinteractions.org]

    Duffy, P.A., J. Epting, J.M. Graham, T.S. Rupp, and A.D. McGuire. 2007 Analysis of Alaskan burn severity patterns using remotely sensed data. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 2007, 16: 277-284

    Euskirchen, S.E., A.D. McGuire, and F.S. Chapin III. 2007 Energy feedbacks of northern high-latitude ecosystems to the climate system due to reduced snow cover during 20th century warming. /Global Change Biology/ *13*:2425-2438, doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2007.01450.x

    Kane, E.S., Kasischke, E.S., Valentine, D.W., Turetsky, M.R. and McGuire, A.D. 2007 Topographic influences on wildfire consumption of soil organic carbon in interior Alaska: implications for black carbon accumulation. Journal of Geophysical Research- Biogeosciences. 112: G03017.

    Kimball, J.S., M. Zhao, A. D. McGuire, F. A. Heinsch, J. Clein, M. Calef, W. M. Jolly, S. Kang, E. S. Euskirchen, K. C. McDonald, and S. W. Running. 2007 Recent climate-driven increases in vegetation productivity for the Western Arctic: Evidence of an acceleration of the northern terrestrial carbon cycle. Earth Interactions 11(4):1-30. 2007. DOI:10.1175/EI180.1

    Myers-Smith, I., A.D. McGuire, J.W. Harden, and F.S. Chapin III. 2007 The influence of disturbance on carbon exchange in a permafrost collapse and adjacent burned forest. Journal of Geophysical Research - Biosciences 112, G04017, doi:10.1029 2007JG000423.

    Myers-Smith, I.H., J.W. Harden, M. Wilmking, C.C. Fuller, A.D. McGuire, and F.S. Chapin, III. 2007 Wetland succession in a permafrost collapse: Interactions between fire and thermokarst. Biogeosciences Discussion 4:4507-4538.

    Wu, W., A.H. Lynch, S. Drobot, J. Maslanik, A.D. McGuire, and U. Herzfeld. 2007 Comparative Analysis of the Western Arctic Surface Climate with Modeling and Observations. Earth Interactions Volume 11, paper 6, 24 pages [available online at http://earthinteractions.org]. DOI: 10.1175/EI202.1

    Zhuang, Q., J. M. Melillo, A. D. McGuire, D. W. Kicklighter, R. G. Prinn, P. A. Steudler, B. S. Felzer, and S. Hu. 2007 Net emissions of CH4 and CO2 in Alaska: Implications for the region's greenhouse gas budget. Ecological Applications 17:203-212.

    Calef, M.P., A.D. McGuire, F.S. Chapin, III. 2008 Human influence on wildfire in Alaska from 1988 through 2005: An analysis of the spatial patterns of human impacts. Earth Interactions 12(1)1-17. doi:10:10.1175/2007EI220.1.

    Chapin, F. S., III, S. F. Trainor, O. Huntington, A. L. Lovecraft, E. Zavaleta, D. C. Natcher, A. D. McGuire, J. L. Nelson, L. Ray, M. Calef, N. L. Fresco, H. Huntington, T. S. Rupp, L. DeWilde, and R. L. Naylor. 2008 Increasing wildfire in the boreal forest: Causes, consequences, and pathways to potential solutions of a wicked problem. BioScience. Vol. 58 No. 6 p531-540 doi:10.1641/B580609

    Chapin, F.S., III, Randerson, J.T., McGuire, A.D., Foley, J.A., and Field, C.B. 2008 Changing feedbacks in the climate-biosphere system. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 6(6): 313-320. doi:10.1890/080005.

    McGuire, A.D., J. Walsh, J.S. Kimball, J.S. Clein, S.E. Euskirchen, S. Drobot, U.C. Herzfeld, J. Maslanik, R.B. Lammers, M.A. Rawlins, C.J. Vorosmarty, T.S. Rupp, W. Wu, and M. Calef.. 2008 The Western Arctic Linkage Experiment (WALE): Overview and Synthesis. Earth Interactions, Vol. 12, Paper No. 7, pp 1-13, DOI: 10.1175/2008EI239.1.

    Myers-Smith, I.H., Harden, J.W., Wilmking, M., Fuller, C.C., McGuire, A.D., and Chapin III, F.S.. 2008 Wetland succession in a permafrost collapse: interactions between fire and thermokarst. Biogeosciences 5: 1-15.

    Turetsky, M.R, C.C. Treat, M. Waldrop, J.M Waddington, J.W. Harden, and A.D. McGuire. 2008 Short-term response of methane fluxes and methanogen activity to water table and soil warming manipulations in an Alaskan peatland. Journal of Geophysical Research 113: G00A10. doi:10.1029/2007JG000496

    Balshi, M. S., A. D. McGuire, P. A. Duffy, M. D. Flannigan, J. E. Walsh, and J. M. Melillo.. 2009 Assessing the response of area burned to changing climate in western boreal North America using a Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) approach. Global Change Biology 15, 578-600, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01679.x

    Balshi, M.S., A.D. McGuire, P. Duffy, D.W. Kicklighter, and J. Melillo. 2009 Vulnerability of carbon storage in North American boreal forests to wildfires during the 21st Century. Global Change Biology 15:1491-1510, doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01877.x.

    Chapin, III, F.S., J. McFarland, A. D. McGuire, E. Euskirchen, R. W. Ruess, and K. Kielland. 2009 The changing global carbon cycle: Linking local plant-soil carbon dynamics to global consequences. Journal of Ecology 97:840-850. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2745.2009.01529.x

    Euskirchen, E. S., A. D. McGuire, F. S. Chapin III, S. Yi, C. C. Thompson. 2009 Changes in vegetation in northern Alaska under scenarios of climate change, 2003-2100: Implications for climate feedbacks. Ecological Applications 19(4): 1022-1043. doi: 10.1890/08-0806.1

    Griffith, D.B., J.M Scott, R.S. Adamcik, D.M. Ashe, B. Czech, R.L. Fischman, P. Gonzalez, J.J. Lawler, A.D. McGuire, and A. Pidgorna. 2009. Climate change adaptation options for the U.S. National Wildlife Refuge System. Environmental Management. In press.

    McGuire, A.D., L.G. Anderson, T.R. Christensen, S. Dallimore, L. Guo, D.J. Hayes, M. Heimann, T.D. Lorenson, R.W. Macdonald, and N. Roulet. 2009. Sensitivity of the carbon cycle in the Arctic to climate change. Ecological Monographs. In press.

    Trainor, S.F., M. Calef, D. Natcher, F.S. Chapin III, A.D. McGuire, O. Huntington, P. Duffy, T.S. Rupp, L. DeWilde, M. Kwart, N. Fresco, and A.L. Lovecraft. 2009 Vulnerability and adaptation to climate-related fire impacts in rural and urban interior Alaska. Polar Research 28: 100-118. doi:10.1111/j.1751-8369.2009.00101.x

    Yi, S., A.D. McGuire, J. Harden, E. Kasischke, K. Manies, L. Hinzman, A. Liljedahl, J. Randerson, H. Liu, V. Romanovsky, S. Marchenko, and Y Kim. 2009 Interactions between soil thermal and hydrological dynamics in the response of Alaska ecosystems to fire disturbance. Journal of Geophysical Research - Biogeosciences 114, G02015, 20 pages, doi:10.1029/2008JG000841

    Yi, S., K. Manies, J. Harden, and A.D. McGuire. 2009 Characteristics of organic soil in black spruce forests: Implications for the application of land surface and ecosystem models in cold regions. Geophysical Research Letters 36, L05501, 5 pages, doi:10.1029/2008GL037014.


    Books:


    Book Chapters:

    McGuire, A.D. 2002. Ecosystem Element Cycling. Pages 614-618 in A.H. El-Shaarawi, and W.W. Piegorsch, editors. Encyclopedia of Environmetrics. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester, USA.

    Csiszar, I., C.O. Justice, A.D. McGuire, M.A. Cochrane, D.P. Roy, F. Brown, S.G. Conard, P.G.H. Frost, L. Giglio, C. Elvidge, M.D. Flannigan, E. Kasischke, D.J. McRae, T.S. Rupp, B.J. Stocks, and D.L. Verbyla. 2004. Land use and fires. Chapter 19 (pages 329-350) in Land Change Science: Observing Monitoring, and Understanding Trajectories of Change on the Earth's Surface. Edited by Gutman, G., Janetos, A.C., Justice, C.O., Moran, E.F., Mustard, J.F., Rindfuss, R.R., Skole, D., Turner II, B.L., and Cochrane, M.A. Dordrecht, Netherlands, Kluwer Academic Publishers.

    McGuire, A.D. , M. Apps , F.S. Chapin III, R. Dargaville , M.D. Flannigan , E.S. Kasischke , D. Kicklighter , J. Kimball , W. Kurz , D.J. McRae , K. McDonald , J. Melillo , R. Myneni , B.J. Stocks , D.L. Verbyla and Q. Zhuang. 2004. Land cover disturbances and feedbacks to the climate system in Canada and Alaska. Chapter 9 (pages 139-161) in Land Change Science; Observing, Monitoring, and Understanding Trajectories of Change on the Earth's Surface. Edited by Gutman, G., Janetos, A.C., Justice, C.O., Moran, E.F., Mustard, J.F., Rindfuss, R.R., Skole, D., Turner II, B.L., and Cochrane, M.A. Dordrecht, Netherlands, Kluwer Academic Publishers.

    Chapin, F.S. III, M. Berman, T.V. Callaghan, P. Convey, A.-S. Crepin, K. Danell, H. Ducklow, B. Forbes, G. Kofinas, A.D. McGuire, M. Nuttall, R. Virginia, O. Young, and S. Zimov. 2005. Polar Systems. Pages 717-743 In H. Hassan, R. Scholes, and N. Ash (Eds) Ecosystems and Human Well-Being: Current State and Trends. Island Press, Washington.

    Chapin, F.S., III, A.D. McGuire, R.W. Ruess, M.W. Walker, R. Boone, M. Edwards, B. Finney, L.D. Hinzman, J. B. Jones, G.P. Juday, E.S. Kasischke, K. Kielland, A.H. Lloyd, M.W. Oswood, C.-L. Ping, E. Rexstad, V. Romanovsky, J. Schimel, E. Sparrow, B. Sveinbjornsson, D.W. Valentine, K. Van Cleve, D.L. Verbyla, L.A. Viereck, R.A. Werner, T.L. Wurtz, and J. Yarie.. 2006. Summary and synthesis: Past and future changes in the Alaskan boreal forest. Pages 332-338 in F.S. Chapin, III, M. Oswood, K. Van Cleve, L.A. Viereck, and D.L. Verbyla (Eds.) Alaska's Changing Boreal Forest. Oxford University Press, New York.

    McGuire, A.D., and F.S. Chapin, III. 2006. Climate feedbacks in the Alaskan boreal forest. Pages 309-322 in F.S. Chapin, III, M. Oswood, K. Van Cleve, L.A. Viereck, and D.L. Verbyla (Eds.) Alaska's Changing Boreal Forest. Oxford University Press, New York.

    Valentine, D.W., K. Kielland, F.S. Chapin, III, A.D. McGuire, and K. Van Cleve. 2006. Patterns of biogeochemistry in Alaskan boreal forests. Pages 241-266 in F.S. Chapin, III, M. Oswood, K. Van Cleve, L.A. Viereck, and D.L. Verbyla (Eds.) Alaska's Changing Boreal Forest. Oxford University Press, New York.

    McGuire, A.D., F. S. Chapin III, C. Wirth, M. Apps, J. Bhatti, T. Callaghan, T. R. Christensen, J. S. Clein, M. Fukuda, T. Maximov, A. Onuchin, A. Shvidenko, and E. Vaganov. 2007. Responses of High Latitude Ecosystems to Global Change: Potential Consequences for the Climate System, Pages 297-310 in Terrestrial Ecosystems in a Changing World. Canadell, Josep G.; Pataki, Diane E.; Pitelka, Louis F. (Eds). IGBP Series, Springer-Verlag, Berlin Heidelberg.

    Correll, R.W., S.J. Hassol, J.M. Melillo, D. Archer, E. Euskirchen, F.S. Chapin III, A.D. McGuire, T.R. Christensen, V.P. Fichelet, K. Walter, Q. Zhuang, T. Callaghan, S. Bech, and C. McMullen.. 2008. Methane from the Arctic: Global warming wildcard. In: UNEP Year Book 2008 (ed P. Harrison), pp 37-48. United Nations Environment Programme, Nairobi, Kenya.

    Barber, V.A., G.P. Juday, T. Osterkamp, R. D’Arrigo, E. Berg, B. Buckley, L. Hinzman, H. Huntington, T. Jorgensen, A.D. McGuire, B. Riordan, A. Whiting, G. Wiles, and M. Wilmking. 2009. A synthesis of recent climate warming effects on terrestrial ecosystems in Alaska. Chapter 9 in Future Climate Change: Implications for Western Environments. Edited by F. Wagner. University of Utah Press. Salt Lake City, Utah. In press.

    Hayes, D.J., A.D. McGuire, D.W. Kicklighter, T.J. Burnside, and J.M. Melillo. 2009. The effects of land cover and land use change on the contemporary carbon balance of terrestrial ecosystems in the Eurasian Arctic. Chapter 6 in Arctic Land Cover and Land Use in a Changing Climate (edited by G. Gutman, P. Groisman, and Reissell). NASA Land Cover and Land Use Change Program. Springer, In Press.

    Krankina, O.N., D. Pflugmacher, D. Hayes, A.D. McGuire, M. Hansen, T. Hame, V. Elsakov, and P. Nelson. 2009. Vegetation cover in the Eurasian Arctic: Distribution, monitoring, and role in carbon cycling. Chapter 4 in Arctic Land Cover and Land Use in a Changing Climate (edited by G. Gutman, P. Groisman, and Reissell). In press.


    Conference Proceedings:

    McGuire, A.D. and J.E. Hobbie. 1997. Global climate change and the equilibrium responses of carbon storage in arctic and subarctic regions. Pages 53-54 in Modeling the arctic system: a workshop report of the Arctic System Science Program. Arctic Research Consortium of the United States, Fairbanks, Alaska, USA.


    Report:

    Harden, J.W., R. Meier, C. Silapaswanl, D.K. Swanson, and A.D. McGuire. 2001. Soil drainage and its potential for influencing wildfires in Alaska. Pages 139-144 in Galloway, J.P., ed., Studies by the U.S. Geological Survey in Alaska, 2001. U.S. Geological Survey Professional Paper 1678. Reston, Virginia.

    Griffith, D.B., and A.D. McGuire. 2008. National Wildlife Refuges Case Study: Alaska and the Central Flyway. In Annex A of Preliminary Review of Adaptation Options for Climate-Sensitive Ecosystems and Resources. A report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research [Julius, S.H., J.M West (eds.), J.S. Baron, B. Griffith, L.A. Joyce, P. Kareiva, B.D. Keller, M.A. Palmer, C.H. Peterson, and J.M. Scott (authors). U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, USA, pp. A-36 - A-46.

    Scott, J.M., D.B. Griffith, R.S. Adamcik, D.M. Ashe, B. Czech, R.L. Fischman, P. Gonzalez, J.J. Lawler, A.D. McGuire, and A. Pidgorna. 2008. National Wildlife Refuges. In Preliminary Review of Adaptation Options for Climate-Sensitive Ecosystems and Resources. A report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research [Julius, S.H., J.M West (eds.), J.S. Baron, B. Griffith, L.A. Joyce, P. Kareiva, B.D. Keller, M.A. Palmer, C.H. Peterson, and J.M. Scott (authors). U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, USA, pp. 121-176.

    Fagre, D.B., C.W. Charles, C.D. Allen, C. Birkeland, F.S. Chapin III, P.M. Groffman, G.R. Gunternspergen, A.K. Knapp, A.D. McGuire, P.J. Mulholland, D.P.C. Peters, D.D. Roby, and G. Sugihara. 2009. Thresholds of Climate Change in Ecosystems. A report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA, USA. 170 pages.

    Karl, T.R., J.M. Melillo, T.C. Peterson, D.M. Anderson, D.F. Boesch, V. Burkett, L.M. Carter, S.J. Cohen, N.B. Grimm, J.L. Hatfield, K. Hayhoe, A. Janetos, J.A. Kaye, J. Lawrimore, J. McCarthy, A.D. McGuire, E. Miles, E. Mills, J.T. Overpeck, J. Patz, R. Pulwarthy, B. Santer, M.J. Savonis, H.G. Schwartz, E. Shea, J. Stone, B.H. Udall, J. Walsh, M.F. Wehner, T.J. Wilbanks, and D. Wuebbles. 2009. Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States: A State of Knowledge Report from the U.S. Global Change Research Program. Cambridge University Press. New York. 188 pages.


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